Publish migration report says Labour

5 March 2014 Last updated at 11:06

Labour has called for the immediate publication of a government report about the impact of immigration on the UK economy following suggestions that it has been withheld by Downing Street.

The BBC understands the report suggests the number of UK workers unemployed due to non-EU immigration is well below the figure previously cited by ministers.

No 10 denied claims the report had been suppressed, saying it was not ready.

But it insisted it would be published in "due course", possibly within days.

The BBC's political editor Nick Robinson said the row over the report reflected splits within the coalition over the benefits of immigration, with the Lib Dems refusing to back a Conservative commitment to reduce levels of net migration to below 100,000 by 2015.

Home Secretary Theresa May has previously used research from 2012 by the Migration Advisory Committee (MAC), a group of independent academics, as a basis for saying that for every additional 100 immigrants from outside the EU, 23 British workers "would not be employed" as a consequence.

'Not completed'

But the new analysis by civil servants is much less pessimistic, estimating that the cost to existing British workers of new arrivals is much lower.

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Watch Chris Cook's Newsnight report

Although the estimated figure for the so-called "displacement" of British workers has not been disclosed, our political editor Nick Robinson said he understood it was "virtually negligible".

He said the two reports were not directly comparable since the 2012 research covered a specific period between 1995 and 2010 while the new findings analysed all the research available on the impact of immigration.

Fault lines

But he said the row over the report's publication reflected fault lines within the coalition on the issue, with Mrs May keen to flag up evidence backing up her argument that migration has an economic "downside" while Lib Dem Business Secretary Vince Cable sought to do the opposite.

The BBC's Newsnight programme, which first reported the story, said it had been told by officials that No 10 had prevented publication of the report to avoid igniting controversy.

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Measuring the economic effects of immigration is difficult but most economists continue to insist that overall immigration increases the size of the British economy and the number of jobs available for British citizens "

End Quote

According to emails seen by Newsnight, the old research cited by Mrs May was not considered sufficiently "robust" by either the Treasury or the Department for Business.

The new report, it argued, has been checked by external academics and agreed across all the departments with a hand in migration - including the Home Office.

However, Newsnight said Home Office officials had protested that the new research, in parts, reflected an "institutional bias" in favour of migration among officials at the Treasury, Foreign Office and business department.

For Labour, shadow immigration minister David Hanson said the report would help inform the highly-charged debate about immigration.

"The government's record on immigration is one of failing to meet their own net migration target and ramping up the rhetoric. Now they want to keep their own research hidden rather than scrutinised," he said.

"We need an open, calm and fact-based debate on the impact of immigration and this should be facilitated by the government and not made harder."

And economist Jonathan Portes, who questioned the validity of the 2012 research at the time, said there was no excuse not to release a report which was "purely analytical and is clearly of wide public interest".

'Stuck'

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Shadow immigration minister David Hanson: "I want this report published today"

Lib Dem MP Martin Horwood said the report had got "stuck in someone's in-tray" and should be "extricated", adding that the debate on immigration needed more facts and less rhetoric.

Downing Street said the report had not yet been completed but would be published "in due course".

It said the initial figures, compiled by teams at the Home Office and Business Department, had now been peer reviewed by academics, but that work had still to be completed.

However, it said much of its findings supported the government's case for tighter controls on immigration.

Statistics released last week suggest the government is unlikely to meet its pledge to reduce net immigration - with numbers rising by 58,000 212,000 in the year to September 2013.

UKIP leader Nigel Farage said the Home Office should produce specific figures on the impact of EU migrants on UK workers' job prospects, saying this was now the most critical factor.

Asked about the report, he added that it would show that there is "displacement of British workers because of excess supply in the labour market caused by open-door immigration".

Watch Chris Cook's Newsnight investigation in full on Tuesday 4 March 2014 at 22:30 GMT on BBC Two, and then afterwards on the BBC iPlayer and via the Newsnight website.

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