Charges would have been brought against Alice Gross murder suspect Arnis Zalkalns if he had lived, police say.
The body of Alice, 14, was found in the River Brent in west London on 30 September, after she went missing a month earlier.
The corpse of Latvian builder Zalkalns was found less than two miles away in Boston Manor Park, on 4 October.
The Met Police has told the Crown Prosecution Service saying Zalkalns was responsible for Alice's murder.
An inquest into Alice's death is due to resume on Thursday.
'Sexual motive'In a statement, her family said: "Every day is full of reminders of her life and her loss, and it is hard to imagine a future in which we can find peace or healing."
Alice's disappearance sparked what the Met said was its largest inquiry since the 7/7 bombings in 2005.
Det Chief Insp Andy Chalmers said: "Boy, do I wish we'd found her earlier".
Zalkalns, who was working as a labourer on a building site in Isleworth, had been convicted of murdering his wife in Latvia, in 1998.
Police said they believe there was a "sexual motive" to Alice's murder although there is no evidence of that.
Tim Thompson, CPS prosecutor said: "Of all the people the various strands of evidence might have implicated they in fact point towards Arnis Zalkalns: a person who has previously killed, and concealed the body of, a young woman.
"It is not for the CPS to say whether or not Arnis Zalkalns killed Alice Gross - that would have been for a jury to decide."
Zalkalns found hangedThey added a single DNA sample from Alice's skin "strongly supports" a match to Zalkalns.
But, the CPS said its case would have been based on circumstantial evidence, not forensic or eyewitness evidence.
Officers have said no-one else was involved in Zalkalns' death. He was found hanged.
The cause of Alice's death was "compressive asphyxia", they added.
Other key points that have emerged from police at a press briefing:
- Even if they had known earlier about Zalkalns' murder conviction in Latvia it would not have saved Alice
- CCTV evidence suggests Zalkalns would have passed Alice on the Grand Union towpath at about 16:10 BST on 28 August, when he stopped for at least 80 minutes
- When he reappeared on camera, his appearance indicated he might have been in the water
- A cigarette butt with Zalkalns' DNA was found close to Alice's body
- An iPhone cover thought to belong to Alice was found hidden in Zalkalns' garden
- Zalkalns returned to the tow path near Alice's body three times
- Post-mortem tests suggest Alice died after being compressed by a heavier body
- Her body was weighed down with bricks, sections of tree trunks, covered with branches
- One of the bags used to conceal Alice's body matched a roll of bags found in Zalkalns' workplace.
Following the police briefing, Alice's family said: "Although we now have certain information about how Alice died, we are still left with some serious unanswered questions about what the authorities knew or should have known about the man who is believed to have killed our daughter when he came to the UK.
"Alice believed in the free movement of people and so do we. For her sake, we are determined to ask these questions responsibly and sensitively."
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