Inflation in the UK could temporarily turn negative in the spring because of falling oil prices, the governor of the Bank of England has said.
Launching the Bank's inflation report, Mark Carney added that prices were likely to rebound around the turn of the year, so this did not mean the economy had entered deflation.
But he said if low inflation persisted, the Bank could cut rates further.
Inflation stands at 0.5%, the joint lowest level on record.
That is well below the Bank's target of 2%, and prompted a letter from Mr Carney to Chancellor George Osborne explaining the situation.
In it, he says that the "most important single reason for below-target inflation over the past year is the unexpected recent sharp drop in energy prices".
"On the assumption that energy and food prices stabilise, CPI inflation should pick up notably once earlier declines start to drop out of the annual comparison, towards the end of this year, " he writes.
Mr Carney said that the headlines on inflation masked an underlying stronger economy. He has revised up the Bank's growth and wage forecasts.
For this year and next, the Bank of England sees economic growth of 2.9%. Wages are forecast to rise by 3.5% this year, having risen by 1.75% in 2014.
Rate movesThe Bank governor said that the falling oil price was "unambiguously good" for the economy.
"The combination of raising wages and falling energy and food prices will help household finances and boost the growth of real take-home pay this year to its fastest rate in a decade. This will support solid growth in consumer spending," he continued.
However, in both his letter to the chancellor and the inflation report, Mr Carney outlines the risks to the economy, which include deflation being more persistent than forecast.
In that case, he said, the Bank was ready to cut interest rates if necessary or expand the Bank's stimulus programme, known as quantitative easing.
He also warned that inflation could be greater than forecast if the extra stimulus provided by low oil prices were to boost the economy more sharply than expected, in which case the Bank could raise rates sooner than forecast.
Mr Carney said: "It's pretty clear in terms of our central expectation that the most likely next move in monetary policy is an increase in interest rates."
Markets are currently expecting an interest rate rise in early 2016.
Asked about concerns about Greece leaving the eurozone, Mr Carney said that the risks were not as great as they were three years ago, but that a Greek exit would have an impact on the Bank's forecasts.
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